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Red76
543416.5
523220.7
517240.0
Blue86
329318.9
205250.2
400934.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691050501502007686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
5232
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 13.5
4009
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
5434
Unranked
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3293
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0