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Red126
288349.8
327622.1
453624.4
Blue74
421521.6
329933.0
485928.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967705015012674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 16.8
3299
Unranked
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4536
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0