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Qual 82015 Minnesota State Championship
Red140
419810.3
251248.2
525320.2
Blue122
266725.0
181633.6
563823.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7877204060100120140140122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 14.6
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.6→33.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Second
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.2→20.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4198
Unranked
10.30.0
10.3→10.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 13.4
5638
Unranked
23.70.0
23.7→23.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0