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Semifinal pool 1-22015 Minnesota State Championship
Red196
313077.7
251248.2
421521.6
Blue140
266725.0
517240.0
181633.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15385050100200250196140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.7→77.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 37.7
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.0→40.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 14.6
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.6→33.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.6→21.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0