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Semifinal pool 1-32015 Minnesota State Championship
Red170
205250.2
288349.8
252631.2
Blue144
266725.0
517240.0
181633.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13488050100150200250170144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.2→50.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 10.2
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.0→40.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.8→49.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 16.2
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.6→33.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.0→25.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0