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Red173
313077.7
251248.2
421521.6
Blue73
477823.0
218132.2
327622.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15759010020025017373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.777.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 45.5
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.248.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 25.2
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0