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Red120
477823.0
218132.2
327622.1
Blue138
266725.0
517240.0
181633.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70100050150200250120138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 10.6
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
3276
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2667
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0