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Red112
414366.7
165855.0
240817.0
Blue28
493116.1
450043.4
55835.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15047010020025011228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 23.3
4500
Unranked
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 38.9
4931
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2408
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 11.2
5583
Unranked
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0