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Red148
414366.7
165855.0
240817.0
Blue88
93126.5
339711.6
544242.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1476505010020025014888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 24.1
5442
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 28.5
931
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
2408
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 5.4
3397
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0