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Red64
432938.7
328434.5
547616.8
Blue18
418715.0
198536.2
109421.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91660501001502006418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
1985
Unranked
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
3284
Unranked
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 13.1
1094
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5476
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
4187
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0