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Red168
120852.1
393758.9
58368.5
Blue114
93126.5
339711.6
544242.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12469050100150200250168114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 16.3
5442
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
1208
Unranked
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 25.6
931
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3397
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0