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Red170
120852.1
393758.9
58368.5
Blue24
418715.0
198536.2
109421.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12660010015020025017024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 22.7
1985
Unranked
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
1208
Unranked
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 30.7
1094
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4187
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0