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Red126
120852.1
393758.9
58368.5
Blue182
414366.7
165855.0
240817.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111138050200250300350126182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
Second
1208
Unranked
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2408
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0