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Red42
109421.4
339711.6
414366.7
Blue50
544242.6
198536.2
248191.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811800501001502002503004250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
blue by 24.8
2481
Unranked
91.50.0
91.591.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
Second
1094
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 21.2
5442
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Third
3397
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 24.6
1985
Unranked
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0