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Red44
432938.7
328434.5
4329B19.4
Blue14
55835.7
547616.8
450043.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955801502004414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4500
Unranked
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
3284
Unranked
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 17.7
5476
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4329B
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 13.6
5583
Unranked
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0