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Red64
393758.9
93126.5
58368.5
Blue18
240817.0
132932.4
493116.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975701502006418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 26.5
1329
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
931
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
2408
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4931
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0