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Red72
248191.5
132932.4
55835.7
Blue74
547616.8
414366.7
328434.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128111501001502007274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
Unranked
91.50.0
91.591.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
Second
1329
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3284
Unranked
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
5583
Unranked
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 11.0
5476
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0