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Red78
418715.0
493116.1
393758.9
Blue34
414366.7
55835.7
4138.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89760501001507834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
Second
4931
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 7.6
413
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
4187
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
5583
Unranked
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0