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Red20
547616.8
128821.3
132932.4
Blue36
450043.4
1208B26.1
109421.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64920501502002502036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 11.0
4500
Unranked
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
1288
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1208B
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
5476
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1094
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0