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Red116
132932.4
165855.0
450043.4
Blue12
55835.7
109421.4
58368.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471405010020025011612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 33.7
1094
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
4500
Unranked
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 34.9
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
1329
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 26.6
5583
Unranked
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0