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Red22
493116.1
128821.3
248191.5
Blue70
418715.0
4329B19.4
414366.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131910501502002270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
Unranked
91.50.0
91.591.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
Second
1288
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
4329B
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
4931
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 1.1
4187
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0