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Red51
198721.3
241033.4
235714.9
Blue61
172330.0
178529.5
171017.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715201001505161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
33.733.3
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
1723
#10
30.00.1
23.023.1
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
1987
#26
21.30.4
21.721.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 8.1
29.50.1
23.823.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
2357
#35
14.90.4
15.314.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
1710
#43
17.00.1
10.010.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0