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Red134
180652.3
173066.3
177718.3
Blue76
182522.3
452246.1
495914.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1506505010020025030013476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.2
68.067.8
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 20.2
46.10.1
45.445.3
Auto0.0
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
52.30.2
54.053.8
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 30.0
1825
#19
22.30.1
21.421.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
1777
#18
18.30.2
20.019.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
4959
#33
14.70.1
13.813.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0