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Red71
245728.8
132935.2
352822.9
Blue126
172330.0
178529.5
171017.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8949010015020071126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
35.034.7
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
1723
#10
30.01.4
23.124.5
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
28.80.3
28.628.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
29.51.1
23.925.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
3528
#23
22.90.3
22.722.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
1710
#43
17.01.4
10.111.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0