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Red71
198721.3
241033.4
235714.9
Blue73
501321.4
193920.6
176321.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695802040801001201401607173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.0
33.333.4
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 11.9
5013
#17
21.40.5
20.921.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
1987
#26
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
1763
#13
21.20.5
20.821.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
2357
#35
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
20.60.4
20.220.6
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0