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Red34
480916.8
19845.8
526815.4
Blue61
44557.3
193920.6
241033.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2145060801001201401603461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#15
16.80.7
7.27.9
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 16.5
33.41.5
17.218.7
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
5268
#32
15.40.7
10.611.4
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
20.61.0
12.613.6
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
1984
#48
5.80.7
7.78.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4455
#36
7.31.5
13.414.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0