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Red16
171017.0
181020.5
177526.9
Blue52
452246.1
512615.6
514112.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485501001502001652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#14
26.92.9
21.418.4
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 19.2
46.10.1
37.837.9
Auto0.0
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
1810
#16
20.52.9
17.814.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
5126
#12
15.60.2
9.29.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
1710
#43
17.02.9
12.19.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
5141
#47
12.40.2
9.09.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0