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Red0
19945.4
172330.0
198219.2
Blue15
180215.8
25608.7
93815.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37290206080100015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#10
30.02.1
13.411.4
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
1802
#31
15.81.3
13.612.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
1982
#34
19.22.1
15.313.3
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 4.1
938
#24
15.11.3
9.07.6
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
1994
#53
5.42.1
8.05.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2560
#38
8.71.3
8.67.2
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0