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Red54
25608.7
128815.7
245728.8
Blue4
287411.9
180215.8
93712.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41300206080100120544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.1
14.815.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 13.0
1802
#31
15.82.4
12.29.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
1288
#29
15.71.1
18.419.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
937
#39
12.62.4
10.88.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
2560
#38
8.71.1
7.28.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2874
#37
11.92.4
9.87.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0