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Red12
198219.2
199711.6
216418.8
Blue8
177718.3
19945.4
17696.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3431020406080128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#34
19.21.9
13.311.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.9
1777
#18
18.32.1
12.010.0
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
2164
#21
18.81.9
11.19.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 12.8
1769
#52
6.02.1
14.712.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.8
End0.0
Third
1997
#41
11.61.9
10.48.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 6.3
1994
#53
5.42.1
5.93.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0