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Red27
18276.5
235313.3
501321.4
Blue21
23468.5
526815.4
547616.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310102040506070802721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#17
21.40.5
13.713.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 4.6
5476
#11
16.89.2
16.87.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
2353
#40
13.30.5
9.99.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5268
#32
15.40.9
11.610.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
1827
#49
6.50.5
9.99.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2346
#54
8.50.9
11.911.0
Auto0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0