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Red40
512615.6
245728.8
18477.3
Blue0
514112.4
480916.8
511913.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3028010204050607080400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.2
13.514.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 12.0
4809
#15
16.81.0
8.27.2
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
5126
#12
15.61.2
7.99.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 2.4
5119
#30
13.21.0
11.510.5
Auto0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
1847
#51DQ
7.31.2
9.610.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
5141
#47
12.41.0
9.99.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0