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Red80
20016.8
526815.4
173066.3
Blue48
509817.0
176417.7
245728.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060801008048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.32.9
29.332.1
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 37.5
28.80.6
15.916.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5268
#32
15.42.9
11.414.2
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 2.2
1764
#20
17.70.6
16.817.3
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2001
#46
6.82.9
4.87.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 10.2
5098
#25
17.00.6
8.49.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0