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Red5
348510.7
514112.4
176321.2
Blue31
19945.4
193920.6
128815.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353401020304050607080531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1763
#13
21.22.5
15.012.5
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 0.6
20.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
5141
#47
12.42.5
9.16.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1288
#29
15.70.0
19.519.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
3485
#44
10.72.5
10.98.4
Auto0.8
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
1994
#53
5.40.0
3.83.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0