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Red32
464624.4
37929.7
180215.8
Blue37
50829.3
171017.0
216418.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310204060801003237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.2
14.814.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
2164
#21
18.80.4
9.29.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1802
#31
15.80.2
9.89.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1710
#43
17.00.4
9.29.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3792
#45
9.70.2
10.310.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
5082
#42
9.30.4
14.114.5
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0