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Red9
18276.5
198219.2
23468.5
Blue30
241033.4
181020.5
93712.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28430206080100120140160930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#34
19.21.9
11.49.5
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 14.1
33.41.0
18.717.7
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
2346
#54
8.51.9
9.87.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
1810
#16
20.51.0
14.813.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
1827
#49
6.51.9
10.18.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
937
#39
12.61.0
8.47.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0