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Red50
177718.3
501321.4
198721.3
Blue79
25608.7
178529.5
177526.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394901001505079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#17
21.40.7
13.113.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 8.1
29.51.5
22.824.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
1987
#26
21.30.7
18.919.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1775
#14
26.92.5
18.420.9
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
1777
#18
18.30.7
10.010.7
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 9.6
2560
#38
8.72.5
8.410.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0