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Red60
173718.1
512615.6
37929.7
Blue186
173066.3
180652.3
132935.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198705010015020060186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1737
#22
18.12.5
9.812.3
Auto0.5
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 48.2
66.38.9
32.141.0
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
5126
#12
15.62.5
10.312.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 36.7
52.38.9
28.137.0
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
3792
#45
9.72.5
10.112.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 25.5
35.28.9
19.428.2
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0