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Red21
480916.8
198721.3
50829.3
Blue27
509817.0
181020.5
93815.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060801002127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
21.31.7
19.617.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 0.9
1810
#16
20.50.7
13.813.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
4809
#15
16.81.7
7.75.9
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5098
#25
17.00.7
9.08.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5082
#42
9.31.7
14.512.8
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
938
#24
15.10.7
12.011.4
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0