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Red44
44557.3
495914.7
176417.7
Blue48
178529.5
180215.8
198219.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364301001502004448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#20
17.70.5
17.317.8
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
29.50.5
24.224.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
4959
#33
14.70.5
8.99.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 4.5
1982
#34
19.20.9
9.510.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
4455
#36
7.30.5
12.012.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 8.5
1802
#31
15.80.9
9.610.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0