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Red14
181020.5
514112.4
17696.0
Blue118
495914.7
180652.3
352822.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226705010015020014118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#16
20.51.3
13.211.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 31.8
52.35.1
37.042.1
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
5141
#47
12.41.3
6.75.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 10.5
3528
#23
22.95.1
16.321.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
1769
#52
6.01.3
10.18.7
Auto0.2
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 8.7
4959
#33
14.75.1
9.414.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0