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Red15
199711.6
93815.1
18276.5
Blue71
182522.3
193920.6
25608.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443060801001201401571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
#24
15.10.6
11.410.8
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 7.1
1825
#19
22.32.4
19.521.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
1997
#41
11.60.6
9.89.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
20.61.5
13.014.5
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
1827
#49
6.50.6
6.76.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2560
#38
8.72.4
9.311.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0