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Red56
234511.2
464624.4
178529.5
Blue71
241033.4
37929.7
245728.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504502060801005671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
24.825.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
33.42.0
18.120.1
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
24.40.4
16.416.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 4.3
28.82.0
16.518.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
2345
#50
11.20.4
10.310.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
3792
#45
9.72.0
12.614.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0