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Red66
235714.9
177526.9
509817.0
Blue6
23468.5
18477.3
216418.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290206080100120666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#14
26.92.8
21.324.1
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
2164
#21
18.81.7
14.813.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
5098
#25
17.02.8
8.411.2
Auto0.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 8.5
2346
#54
8.51.7
9.88.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
2357
#35
14.92.8
14.817.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 7.6
1847
#51
7.31.7
8.26.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0