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Red53
128815.7
182522.3
352822.9
Blue20
480916.8
20016.8
37929.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66210501001505320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
#23
22.90.7
21.420.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
4809
#15
16.80.3
7.67.9
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
1825
#19
22.30.7
21.921.2
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 12.6
3792
#45
9.70.3
14.614.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
1288
#29
15.70.7
18.417.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
2001
#46
6.80.3
6.87.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.3
End0.0