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Red62
177718.3
180652.3
241033.4
Blue0
216716.4
348510.7
352822.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50380206080100120140620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.5
23.625.1
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 29.4
3528
#23
22.92.5
21.118.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
33.41.5
15.617.2
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 16.9
2167
#27
16.42.5
10.58.1
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
1777
#18
18.31.5
10.512.0
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 7.6
3485
#44
10.72.5
9.77.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.0
End0.0