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Red90
173066.3
50829.3
44557.3
Blue57
176321.2
182522.3
17696.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801009057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.33.9
21.225.1
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 44.0
1825
#19
22.31.9
17.119.0
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
5082
#42
9.33.9
12.416.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 11.9
1763
#13
21.21.9
10.612.5
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
4455
#36
7.33.9
9.513.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 1.3
1769
#52
6.01.9
12.814.7
Auto0.2
Teleop5.8
End0.0