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Red56
178529.5
132935.2
233515.8
Blue8
199711.6
464624.4
20016.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4930020406080100120140160568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.7
17.217.8
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 10.8
24.42.2
13.511.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
29.50.5
19.920.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 17.9
1997
#41
11.62.2
12.610.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
2335
#28
15.80.7
10.711.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 9.0
2001
#46
6.82.2
8.15.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.3
End0.0