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Red31
180215.8
17696.0
198721.3
Blue84
241033.4
452246.1
235714.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31870501001502003184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#26
21.30.8
21.520.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 24.8
46.10.1
43.443.5
Auto0.0
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
1802
#31
15.80.8
10.39.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 17.6
33.40.2
20.120.3
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
1769
#52
6.00.8
8.77.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 8.9
2357
#35
14.90.2
17.617.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0