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Red74
178529.5
193920.6
216716.4
Blue86
132935.2
509817.0
19945.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001201401607486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.9
25.025.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
35.23.2
31.835.0
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
20.60.9
14.515.4
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 3.6
5098
#25
17.03.2
11.214.3
Auto0.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
2167
#27
16.41.5
16.117.6
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 11.1
1994
#53
5.43.2
4.98.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0